Away Win
NAC Breda 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar
Who will win?
1
NAC Breda
x
Draw
2
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda take on AZ Alkmaar at the Rat Verlegh Stadion on Sunday, 31 August 2025 (15:45 GMT) in the Netherlands Eredivisie. Football Park’s advanced algorithm gives AZ the edge with a 60% win probability, while Breda hold a 33.3% chance, leaving the draw at just 6.7%. With an expected 3.30 total goals, the model predicts an open contest and leans towards a 2-3 away victory, making goals markets especially appealing.
AZ’s superior squad depth and attacking consistency underline their status as favourites, but Breda’s ability to score at home keeps both teams to score markets in play.
Date: 31 August 2025
Kick-Off: 15:45 GMT
Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda – A 19,000-seater ground known for its passionate home atmosphere and modern facilities, offering NAC strong local backing.
Referee: TBC
Netherlands: ESPN NL
UK: Viaplay Sports
Europe: DAZN (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 33.3%
Away Win Probability: 60%
Draw Probability: 6.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-3
Both Teams to Score Probability: 60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away
AZ Alkmaar to Win @ 1.57 – Supported by a strong 60% win probability and superior quality across key areas.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.95 – With 3.30 expected goals and both teams likely to find the net, this combined market provides value.
15 Dec 2024: NAC Breda 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
08 Feb 2019: NAC Breda 0-3 AZ Alkmaar
17 Feb 2018: NAC Breda 1-3 AZ Alkmaar
08 Nov 2014: NAC Breda 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
22 Sep 2013: NAC Breda 3-0 AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar have dominated the majority of recent meetings, winning four of the last five encounters, typically scoring multiple goals.
Expected Match Goals: 3.30
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.27 (73% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: AZ Alkmaar to Win @ 1.57
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.95
With both sides predicted to score and AZ expected to edge a high-scoring affair, markets combining goals with an AZ win provide strong value.
Football Park predictions are generated using advanced algorithmic models. While probabilities highlight value, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.
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