Emirates FA Cup


BTTS Yes
Derby 1 - 2 Leeds
Who will win?
1

Derby
x
Draw
2

Leeds
In the third round of the FA Cup, Premier League side Leeds will take on Championship side Derby County.
Both slides have struggled throughout the first half of their respective season, but over the past 10 games, both teams have pushed away from relegation and look to be aiming for a lower mid-table finish in their respective league.
Key Betting Tip: BTTS @2.00 odds represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Derby Predicted XI: Zetterstrom, Langas, Sanderson, Clarke, Ward, Thompson, Clark, Elder, Brereton Diaz, Agyemang, Brewster
Leeds Predicted XI: Perri, Rodon, Bijol, Struijk, Justin, Stach, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson, Calvert-Lewin, Aaronson
As this is the FA Cup, there is no league table, but I can explain their current league standings.
Derby are currently sitting 13th in the Championship table and are on 35 points. As it stands, they sit six points off the play-off positions and 11 points off the relegation zone.
Leeds, on the other hand, sit 16th in the Premier League and are on 22 points. After spending a significant period in the relegation zone, they have performed well in their recent games and are now eight points clear of the drop.
The two English sides have faced off against each other 115 times in their history. Leeds have won 54, Derby have won 35, and the sides have drawn 26 times.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
29/12/2024 – Derby 0–1 Leeds (Championship)
07/12/2024 – Leeds 2–0 Derby (Championship)
19/07/2020 – Derby 1–3 Leeds (Championship)
21/09/2019 – Leeds 1–1 Derby (Championship)
15/05/2019 – Leeds 2–4 Derby (Championship Playoffs)
In the past five matches between these two English sides, Leeds have held the upper hand, winning three of the five matches. Despite this, Derby won the most important match between these two teams, winning the 2018/19 Championship play-off final.
Derby Last 5 Matches:
04/01/2026 – Derby 1–2 Wrexham (Championship)
01/01/2026 – Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough (Championship)
29/12/2025 – Leicester 2–1 Derby (Championship)
26/12/2025 – Birmingham 1–1 Derby (Championship)
20/12/2025 – Derby 1–1 Portsmouth (Championship)
Derby have not performed too well in their last five matches, but they have not been awful either. They have won a single match against Middlesbrough, lost twice to Wrexham and Leicester, and drawn two matches against Birmingham and Portsmouth.
Leeds Last 5 Matches:
05/01/2026 – Newcastle 4–3 Leeds (Premier League)
04/01/2026 – Leeds 1–1 Manchester United (Premier League)
01/01/2026 – Liverpool 0–0 Leeds (Premier League)
28/12/2025 – Sunderland 1–1 Leeds (Premier League)
20/12/2025 – Leeds 4–1 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
Leeds, on the other hand, has performed extremely well in their past five games. They have only earned one more point than Derby in these games, but have had great draws against Manchester United, Liverpool and Sunderland. They lost their most recent match against Newcastle after conceding a 102nd-minute goal.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 68% confidence in both teams to score. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: BTTS @2.00 our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted both teams to score in this fixture.
Daniel James (Leeds -) A quick winger who won Leeds player of the year last season, Daniel James will be looking to expose Premier League defences with his runs down the line.
Joe Ward (Derby) - With Carlton Morris currently out of contention due to injury, Joe Ward will be an important attacking outlet in this Derby side. This season, he has scored once and assisted his teammates five times.
Referee: Information not available
Stadium: Built 29 years ago in 1997, Pride Park Stadium is a 33,000 seater. Derby moved in after they changed their stadium. They previously played at the Baseball ground, which they had called home for over 100 years.

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