Atalanta
Parma
Atalanta vs Parma Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Match Preview
Serie A action on Monday as Atalanta go head-to-head with Parma. Here's our data-driven breakdown.
Form Check
Solid stuff from Atalanta — 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 defeats in their last 5.
Parma can't buy a win right now. 5 losses from 5 is grim reading. Three straight losses — they'll be desperate to stop the rot.
Our Prediction
Atalanta are clear favourites according to our numbers: 68.10% to take all three points. Parma? Only 12.00%. Draw sits at 19.80%. We're predicting a 2-0 final score.
How Many Goals?
BTTS is at 53.00% — could go either way on that one.
Goals markets: Over 1.5 at 83.00%, Over 2.5 at 60.80%, Over 3.5 at 38.40%. Pretty middle-of-the-road stuff.
Best Bet
Gun to our head? Atalanta to win at odds of 1.400. That's a 68.10% shout according to the numbers.
The Odds
Here's how the bookies see it — Atalanta 1.400, Draw 4.500, Parma 7.000. BTTS priced at 1.800 Yes / 1.950 No. Over 2.5 Goals is 1.570.
This preview was generated by our prediction algorithm. It crunches historical data, form, and stats to give you the numbers — but football being football, anything can happen. Bet responsibly.
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Prediction Probabilities
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 4 - 0 | Parma |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Parma | 1 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 25 May 2025 | Atalanta | 2 - 3 | Parma |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Parma | 1 - 3 | Atalanta |
| 04 Aug 2024 | Parma | 4 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 09 May 2021 | Parma | 2 - 5 | Atalanta |
| 06 Jan 2021 | Atalanta | 3 - 0 | Parma |
| 28 Jul 2020 | Parma | 1 - 2 | Atalanta |
| 06 Jan 2020 | Atalanta | 5 - 0 | Parma |
| 31 Mar 2019 | Parma | 1 - 3 | Atalanta |
Recent Form
Last five matches, most recent first.
Atalanta Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Fiorentina | 2 - 2 | Atalanta |
| 25 Oct | Atalanta | 4 - 4 | Frosinone |
| 22 Oct | Ajax | 2 - 0 | Atalanta |
| 18 Oct | AC Milan | 3 - 2 | Atalanta |
| 15 Oct | Atalanta | 3 - 1 | Pafos |
Parma Recent Results
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Parma | 0 - 0 | Udinese |
| 24 Oct | Lazio | 2 - 1 | Parma |
| 19 Oct | Parma | 0 - 3 | Torino |
| 10 Oct | Inter | 3 - 0 | Parma |
| 20 Sep | Parma | 2 - 1 | Genoa |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Best Bets
Odds shown are indicative and move before kick-off — check the live price before betting. The percentage is the implied chance of that selection at those odds.
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Match Result Predictions
Total Goals Predictions
First Half Predictions
Projected cards and corners
Our modelled line for each market, next to the price where the bookmaker has put one up. These are projections of how the game is likely to go, not value picks: we are not claiming to beat the market here, just showing you our number so you can hold it against theirs.
Corners
Match total we project 9.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 56%– | 44%– |
| 9.5 | 45%1.95 | 55%1.85 |
| 10.5 | 35%– | 65%– |
Atalanta we project 5.0
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 52%– | 48%– |
| 5.5 | 39%– | 62%– |
| 6.5 | 28%2.00 | 73%1.73 |
Parma we project 4.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 56%– | 44%– |
| 4.5 | 41%– | 59%– |
| 5.5 | 29%– | 71%– |
Cards
Referee: Valerio Crezzini
Match total we project 3.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 74%1.83 | 26%1.83 |
| 3.5 | 54%– | 46%– |
| 4.5 | 34%– | 66%– |
Atalanta we project 1.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83%1.44 | 17%2.62 |
| 1.5 | 53%2.62 | 47%1.44 |
| 2.5 | 26%– | 74%– |
Parma we project 2.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 62%2.00 | 39%1.73 |
| 2.5 | 35%– | 66%– |
| 3.5 | 16%– | 84%– |
A dash in place of a price means the bookmaker has not put that line up yet. Our projection does not depend on them pricing it. Corners are modelled on a negative binomial rather than a Poisson, because corner counts have fatter tails than a Poisson allows for and the high-scoring games get underpriced otherwise. Work out what any of these prices returns with the bet calculator.
