Genclerbirligi vs Istanbul Basaksehir Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Genclerbirligi vs Istanbul Basaksehir Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Friday, 7 November 2025 | Kick-off: 17:00 GMT | Competition: Turkey Süper Lig

Match Overview

Genclerbirligi host Istanbul Basaksehir in a fixture where the visitors are clear favourites according to Football Park’s predictive model. Basaksehir hold a 46.7% chance of victory, compared to 26.7% for Genclerbirligi, with the draw also carrying a 26.7% probability. Basaksehir’s greater attacking efficiency and disciplined structure give them the edge, while Genclerbirligi’s lack of cutting edge in front of goal continues to be a major concern — averaging under 1 goal per game.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Home Win Probability: 26.70%

Away Win Probability: 46.70%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70%

Expected Match Goals: 1.90

The algorithm forecasts a 0-2 away victory, consistent with Basaksehir’s historical dominance in this matchup and their superior defensive reliability.

Key Betting Tips

Istanbul Basaksehir to Win @ 2.05

With the away side holding nearly double the win probability of their opponents, this market represents excellent value. Basaksehir have won four of their last six league meetings against Genclerbirligi, often by narrow margins.

Recommended Bet: Istanbul Basaksehir to Win @ 2.05

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85

The data projects just 1.9 expected match goals, supported by a 50% chance of under 2.5 goals. Seven of the last eight meetings between these sides have finished with two goals or fewer.

Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85

Head-to-Head Timeline – Genclerbirligi vs Istanbul Basaksehir

07 Mar 2021: Genclerbirligi 0-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

01 Sep 2019: Genclerbirligi 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

23 Sep 2017: Genclerbirligi 1-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

10 Dec 2016: Genclerbirligi 0-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

30 Apr 2016: Genclerbirligi 0-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

01 Nov 2014: Genclerbirligi 1-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

01 Mar 2013: Genclerbirligi 0-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

22 Dec 2011: Genclerbirligi 4-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

This fixture has historically been low-scoring — five of the last seven meetings have seen one goal or fewer.

Statistical Breakdown – Genclerbirligi vs Istanbul Basaksehir Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 85% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 50% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 45% probability

Both Teams to Score: 46.7% probability

Predicted Match Goals: 1.90

Expect a slow tempo early on, with just a 53% chance of a first-half goal, before Basaksehir gradually assert their control.

Betting Outlook

Genclerbirligi may find it difficult to break through a compact Basaksehir side that excels in away matches. The visitors’ superior quality and tactical cohesion should see them claim a narrow but professional victory.

Predicted Outcome: Genclerbirligi 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Most Valuable Markets: Basaksehir to Win @ 2.05 | Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85

Responsible Gambling Message

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