Kayserispor vs Kasimpasa Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Kayserispor vs Kasimpasa Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 2 November 2025 | Kick-off: 14:00 GMT | Competition: Turkey Süper Lig

Match Overview

Kayserispor and Kasimpasa face off in what is expected to be a low-scoring Süper Lig encounter. Football Park’s data model gives Kayserispor a 40% win chance, slightly ahead of Kasimpasa’s 33.3%, with a 26.7% chance of a draw.

The expected goals (xG) model predicts 0.9 goals for the hosts and 1.0 for the visitors, hinting at a tight game where a single goal could decide the outcome.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Home Win Probability: 40.00%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 50.00%

Expected Match Goals: 1.90

The simulation leans slightly toward Kayserispor, projecting a 2-0 home victory as the most probable result.

Key Betting Tips

Kayserispor to Win @ 2.38

With a narrow statistical edge and a strong home record in this fixture, Kayserispor offer decent value at 2.38. They’ve won five of their last seven home meetings with Kasimpasa, keeping clean sheets in four of them.

Recommended Bet: Kayserispor to Win @ 2.38

Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.75

This fixture historically delivers low-scoring outcomes, with six of the last seven head-to-heads producing two or fewer goals. The data model projects only 1.9 total goals, supporting a bet on the unders market.

Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.75

Head-to-Head Timeline – Kayserispor vs Kasimpasa

13 Apr 2025: Kayserispor 1-0 Kasimpasa

03 Apr 2024: Kayserispor 0-2 Kasimpasa

19 Apr 2023: Kayserispor 0-0 Kasimpasa

11 Sep 2021: Kayserispor 2-0 Kasimpasa

13 Sep 2020: Kayserispor 1-0 Kasimpasa

20 Oct 2019: Kayserispor 1-1 Kasimpasa

12 May 2019: Kayserispor 2-1 Kasimpasa

24 Feb 2018: Kayserispor 3-2 Kasimpasa

05 Mar 2017: Kayserispor 2-2 Kasimpasa

21 Nov 2015: Kayserispor 0-0 Kasimpasa

Kayserispor have been dominant in this matchup, remaining unbeaten in eight of their last ten meetings at home.

Statistical Breakdown – Kayserispor vs Kasimpasa Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 65% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 30% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 20% probability

Both Teams to Score: 50% probability

Predicted Match Goals: 1.90

A cautious game is expected, especially in the first half, with 73% chance of one goal or fewer before halftime.

Betting Outlook

Both sides are likely to adopt a measured approach, limiting attacking risks. Kayserispor’s home strength gives them the advantage, but goals may come at a premium.

Predicted Outcome: Kayserispor 2-0 Kasimpasa

Most Valuable Markets: Kayserispor to Win @ 2.38 | Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.75

Responsible Gambling Message

Football Park’s predictions are based on statistical models and historical data. Results can differ on match day. Always gamble responsibly, avoid chasing losses, and seek help if betting stops being fun. Visit BeGambleAware.org for support and advice.