EFL Midweek Madness

The midweek action in League One promises drama up and down the country, with nine fixtures lined up for Tuesday night. We’ve built a carefully considered accumulator that combines team form, goal trends, and underlying data to produce two value-packed options: a 3-leg acca and a more ambitious 4-leg acca.

Below, we’ll break down each selection and explain the reasoning behind it.

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Northampton Town vs Lincoln City

Selection: Northampton under 1.5 goals @1.3 odds (Ladbrokes)

Northampton have started the season slowly in the attacking department, managing just one goal in their opening two league fixtures. In fact, Northampton are yet to win in four competitive fixtures this term and have failed to score in three of those matches.

Their struggles in the final third are no surprise, last term, they ranked among the bottom six for xG created.

Lincoln, meanwhile, have started the season strongly with three wins from four competitive matches. The Imps have been free scoring also with 2+ goals being scored by Lincoln in all three of their victories.

Stat to note: Northampton have scored 2+ goals in only 3 of their last 14 league games.

Luton Town vs Wigan Athletic

Selection: Over 2.5 goals @2.1 odds (William Hill)

This one has all the makings of a goal-heavy contest. Luton, relegated from the Championship, have brought their attacking intent down a division and carry serious firepower up front. Their games tend to be open, and they rarely settle for a cagey affair.

Wigan, on the other hand, are no strangers to high-scoring games themselves with their last scoreless match coming all the way back in April.

Luton Town have won each of their last three home league games, their longest such run since winning five in a row in the Championship across March/April 2023.

Wigan Athletic have lost just one of their seven away league games against Luton Town (W3 D3), winning 2-1 on their last league visit to Kenilworth Road in September 2022. Athletic will have to hope that history stands to them here given they've won just one of their last 11 away league games.

Stockport County vs Bradford City

Selection: Both teams to score @2.0 odds (BetFred)

Stockport are one of the promotion favourites and boast a potent frontline, but defensively they can be caught out, particularly by teams that play direct football.

Bradford may not be title challengers, but they’ve started brightly with three wins and a draw across all competitions, the same record as their hosts in this one.

Stockport have been the team to follow this season in terms of entertainment with over 2.5 goals being scored in their last three and over 1.5 in every game.

Despite both teams impressive form and goal scoring ability, they've kept a combined total of two clean sheets.

With both teams possessing firepower but question marks over defensive solidity, this looks like an ideal BTTS pick.

Port Vale vs Stevenage

Selection: Draw or Stevenage win (Double Chance) @1.5 (BetFred)

Stevenage are emerging as one of the early-season dark horses. Their high-energy pressing style has carried over from last year’s strong campaign, and they look well-drilled after a 100% start to the league campaign.

After beating Blackpool 3-2 on MD1, Stevenage could win both of their first two away games of a Football League season for only the third time, after 2012-13 and 2023-24.

Port Vale, by contrast, have had an up and down start with two draws and one defeat from three league games, but they have won in the EFL Cup at least. They have struggled to score goals, and Stevenage’s aggressive approach could stifle their creativity.

However, the hosts record in this fixture is strong with Port Vale unbeaten across their last five league games against Stevenage (W1 D4), with the last meeting between these two sides finishing 2-2 in League One in February 2024.

Port Vale have also kept an impressive nine clean sheets in their last 15 home league games, conceding only eight goals in this period.

With that in mind, the safer angle is to back Stevenage to avoid defeat, giving us the draw as insurance, but with real value if they nick all three points.

COMBINED ODDS: 7.19