Betting Guides

Saturday’s 100/1+ “Both Score, No Draw” Accumulator

Time for some fun. If you thought betting was just about picking winners and goalscorers, you’ve never come across the both score, no draw accumulators - they’re an absolute beauty of a bet to track. Best thing, you don’t even care which team wins. You just need goals, maybe a few errors at the back, and a bit of luck.

Accumulators are all about finding value in patterns the bookmakers might underprice, and one of the best markets is “Both Teams to Score & No Draw.” It’s a tricky combination, but when the stats line up: high BTTS probability, attacking strengths, and fragile defensive records - it can result in some real value.

Punter Lands £39,754 Using This Bet Market

The inspiration? A punter landed one of these on Sunday. The £30 stake on his eight-fold returned a mouth watering £38,754. Yes, you read that correctly. Thirty eight thousand pounds. Crazy.

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Listen, we’re not going to go that mad. But we are going to test the waters, and our acca is still coming in at a beautiful price of 117/1. Basically, a tenner would return over £1,100. Imagine.

The difference with our bet? Ours is blessed with Football Park’s in-house algorithm (yes, actual maths - not just guess work). To make things even better, you can get in on the action with Betfred’s sign up offer (if you don’t have an account already) - bet £10 and get £50 in free bets today.

The Selections (Based on Football Park’s Algorithm)

Selection 1:

Eintracht Frankfurt v Bayern Munich - Both Teams to Score & No Draw @ 4/5

Bayern win probability: 53.3% Frankfurt win probability: 26.7% BTTS probability: 96.7% xG projection: Frankfurt 2.3 - Bayern 2.6 Expected total goals: 4.9

This is one of the most statistically compelling picks in this acca. Frankfurt’s attack generates an average of 2.3 xG per game, while Bayern sit even higher at 2.6.

Frankfurt have scored 17 goals in 5 games so far this season. Bayern, even better, have scored 22 goals in 5 games. This just screams goals.

Head to head just backs up the data: there’s been 28 goals scored between the two sides in the last 6 league fixtures. Both teams have scored in 5 of them. A high-scoring, decisive result should be on the cards here.

Selection 2:

Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin - Both Teams To Score & No Draw @ 6/4

Leverkusen win probability: 40% Union Berlin win probability: 20% BTTS probability: 66.7% xG projection: Leverkusen 1.9 - Union Berlin 1.2

Leverkusen have scored 5 goals in 3 games at home so far this season, whilst Union Berlin have scored 4 away from home in 3 games. Leverkusen’s home form is dominant in terms of goals: they’ve scored at least 1 goal at home in their last 7 matches, with 80% of their Bundesliga home fixtures seeing BTTS in the last 12 months.

Union Berlin struggle to keep the ball out of the net away from home, conceding 6 goals in their last two away games in the Bundesliga. They have managed to score 14 goals in their last 6 games, though.

With Union Berlin’s attack still capable of finding the net, and Leverkusen’s home goal scoring record, the algorithm is predicting a 3-1 win for the home side.

Selection 3:

Port Vale v Northampton - Both Teams To Score & No Draw @ 5/2

Port Vale win probability: 53.3.% Northampton win probability: 33.3% BTTS probability: 63.3.% xG projection: Port Vale 1.4 - Northampton 1.2

Port Vale’s home advantage is significant, but their defense has been inconsistent - they’ve conceded 7 goals in their last 4 games at home in League 1. Despite this, they’ve still managed to score 3 goals. Northampton, meanwhile, have scored in just 2 away games, but have conceded 7 away from home. It looks like a bit of a mismatch, and the game could be wide open.

The fixture has seen 7 goals in the last 6 games. It’s been pretty tight in recent affairs, but with the 63.3% BTTS probability provided by the algorithm, and the close win probabilities, we’ve gambled and added this game to our slip. Both teams are in good form, and will be going for the win. Risky. But we’ve taken Both Teams to Score & No Draw here.

Selection 4:

Lincoln v Exeter - Both Teams To Score & No Draw @ 2/1

Lincoln win probability: 53.3% Exeter win probability: 13.3% BTTS probability: 53.3% xG projection: Lincoln 1.5 - Exeter 0.6

Lincoln are strong favourites, Exeter have started poorly but have still scored 10 goals in 10 games. Lincoln have conceded 6 goals in 6 home matches.

Head to head is tight: 4 of the last 6 matches between these sides have ended level, which makes the ‘no draw’ angle riskier, but with Lincoln’s high xG, Exeter’s poor form, but still decent goalscoring record, a 2-1 or 3-1 outcome looks more than achievable here.

Selection 5:

Bristol City v QPR - Both Teams To Score & No Draw @ 6/4

Bristol City win probability: 45% QPR win probability: 30% BTTS probability: 70% xG projection: Bristol City 1.8 - QPR 1.5

Ok, so we’ve got a couple of risky selections out the way. Let’s move on to something a bit more ‘nailed on’. This game just screams goals.

The Championship is built for Both Teams to Score bets. Bristol City have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games. They’ve scored 6, and conceded 6, in 4 home matches so far this season. QPR’s recent turnaround includes scoring 8 goals in 5, they’ve scored 6 goals away from home in 4 games. Oh, and conceded 11.

Both teams have scored in the last two meetings between the two sides. QPR have avoided defeat in their last 5 trips, but both sides have scored in 4 of those. With both sides averaging over 1.5 goals per game in recent weeks, the model points to another high-scoring goal with no stalemate. This one, hopefully, should sail in.