Carabao Cup


Over 2.5
Newcastle 3 - 2 Manchester City
Who will win?
1

Newcastle
x
Draw
2

Manchester City
January 13, 2025 | St James' Park | Carabao Cup | 20:00 GMT
Newcastle and Man City face off in this Carabao Cup fixture, with Newcastle looking to march on in their quest to defend the trophy and become back-to-back winners in what is the first of two legs. The likelihood is, Newcastle will need a big result in this game, as the second leg sees them travel to the Etihad amid some noticeably poor away form this season.
Man City will be looking to take a solid result back home for the second leg as they look to win the tournament for the first time since the 20/21 season, when they beat Spurs 1-0 at Wembley. This game comes off the back of a couple of results which have let Arsenal slip away in the title race, something which City will be looking to make up for with a win here.
Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS @ 1.83
Newcastle Predicted Lineup: Pope, Livramento, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Bruno G., Tonali, Joelinton, Barnes, Wissa, Gordon
Man City Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma, Nunes, Khusanov, Ake, O'Reilly, Rodri, Reijnders, Cherki, Foden, Silva, Haaland
Newcastle's run to this stage of the competition has been noticeably easier than their run which ended in victory last year – with Bradford, Spurs and then Fulham all seen off in the build-up to this stage. Recent form has seen a string of three wins in a row lift the Magpies from 14th to 6th in the Premier League in a run which will undoubtedly give them hope that the inconsistencies are behind them.
Man City's run to this point of the competition has seen Huddersfield, Swansea and Brentford comfortably seen off. Recent form has seen three draws in a row in the league, which has heeded a drop away from league leaders Arsenal and given City a mountain to climb; thus, this run will all have caused some doubt to seep in, which could be capitalised on if Newcastle are their energetic selves here.
22.11.25 Newcastle 2-1 Man City
15.02.25 Man City 4-0 Newcastle
28.09.24 Newcastle 1-1 Man City
16.03.24 Man City 2-0 Newcastle
13.01.24 Newcastle 2-3 Man City
Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea
Man United 1-0 Newcastle
Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
Newcastle 2-0 Palace
Newcastle 4-3 Leeds
Man City 3-0 West Ham
Nottm Forest 1-2 Man City
Sunderland 0-0 Man City
Man City 1-1 Chelsea
Man City 1-1 Brighton
Our advanced algorithm analyses 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 75.00% confidence in over 2.5 goals and a 73.30% confidence in BTTS. This model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability and tactical matchups.
Football Park's Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS @ 1.83 – Our team of in-house tipsters has predicted over 2.5 goals & BTTS. Three of Newcastle's last five have ended in this outcome, whilst only one of City's has. But, given the need for Newcastle to do well in this first leg, their intensity could cause the game to open up, and we could see some goals from both sides.
Harvey Barnes (Newcastle): Barnes scored the winner in that unbelievable game against Leeds last week and will be hoping to continue that form in this game. He also scored the winner in the last outing between the two sides.
Erling Haaland (Man City): One goal in the last four games is an awful return for a man like Haaland, and there's no doubt he will be hoping to put those struggles right as soon as possible, and it could be here.

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