Wrexham vs Birmingham City Prediction

The hottest fixture in the third tier returns for a second time this season, with the two American-owned clubs facing off in a top-of-the-table clash. Wrexham’s recent slip-up away in Shrewsbury will be on their minds heading into this game knowing that another loss would be costly in the race for automatic promotion. Birmingham City, couldn’t be a tougher opponent though as the Blues continue to cruise through League One.

Key Stats:

• Wrexham have not lost at home in the league this season. They have the most points at home with 38 (12 wins, 2 draws).
• Birmingham City have only lost twice in the league all season, both away from home.
• Birmingham City are unbeaten in 10 League One games winning 8 of those matches and have not lost since November.
• Jay Stansfield has 12 goals for Birmingham in League One this season, and Alfie May has 10.
• Birmingham City have the best defence in the league, conceding just 17 goals, Wrexham have the second best defence conceding 20 so far.

Wrexham vs Birmingham City Previews, Form and Players to Watch:

Wrexham vs Birmingham sees the two best defences in the league face off. Form wise though Birmingham City take the crown. The blues have 10 wins in their last 12 league games and are unbeaten in 12. Wrexham on the other hand are 10th in the form table for the last six matches with three wins, two losses and a draw.

Wrexham Preview:

Predicted Line Up: Arthur Okwonko, Max Cleworth, Thomas O’Connor, Eoghan O’Connell, Andy Cannon, Matty James, Oliver Rathbone, Ryan Barnett, James McLean, Paul Mullin, Ollie Palmer

There were many expectations for Wrexham after back to back promotions from the fifth to the third tier. Expectations that the Red Dragons have lived up to as they currently chase automatic promotion in 3rd. Whilst they may have one of the best defences in the league, Wrexham’s average goalscoring is the one area they don’t stand out in. Seven teams have scored more goals than Wrexham in League One so far, and their highest scorers in the league have just six goals. Although they do have four players on 5+ goals in the shape of Jack Marriott, Max Cleworth, Elliott Lee and Steven Fletcher.

Wrexham have adjusted well to life in the third tier, especially as a lot of their squad is the same from their time in League Two. Steven Fletcher is currently their inform striker, spending most of the season coming off the bench, Fletcher has hit a brilliant patch of form scoring 4 goals in his last 5 League One games, earning him a starting spot against Shrewsbury last time out.

Birmingham City Preview:

Predicted Line Up: Ryan Allsop, Alexander William Cochrane, Christoph Klarer, Ben Davies, Ethan Laird, Taylor Gardner-Hickman, Marc Leonard, Jay Stansfield, Luke Harris, Scott Wright, Alfie May

Like Wrexham, Birmingham City also had huge expectations placed upon them but for the opposite reasons, with the side dropping down to the third tier for the first time since 1995. Due to the financial backing of the likes of Tom Brady, Birmingham have been able to make splashes in the transfer window, assuring that they gain promotion back to the Championship where they had spent 13 straight seasons. So far it has gone to plan, with the league’s best defence and one of the best attacks too. They currently have 26 points from their last possible 30, the only thing stopping them now is Wrexham’s incredible home form.

Alfie May started the season scoring in all four of Birmingham’s opening league games. He then went on a barren run scoring 3 goals in 17 league games, but he had started the new year in brilliant fashion with 3 goals in his last 3 games, making him a player to watch.

Head-to-Head Stats - Wrexham vs Birmingham City

This fixture has not got a lot of history to it due to Birmingham’s recent time in the top two tiers, and Wrexham’s recent time in the non league. They have met 10 times overall, with Birmingham City winning six times, Wrexham winning twice and two draws being played out as well. Back in September the two sides met for the first time in almost 20 years, with Birmingham City winning 3-1. The last five results are as follows:

• Birmingham City 3-1 Wrexham, September 2024
• Birmingham City 4-1 Wrexham, September 2006
• Birmingham City 1-3 Wrexham, February 1997
• Birmingham City 5-2 Wrexham, February 1995
• Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City, October 1994

Betting Tips for Wrexham vs Birmingham City

Birmingham on paper and by results are the stronger side, but Wrexham’s brilliant home support cannot be ignored. Birmingham will try to keep the ball away from their defensive third in the first half, and will not rush to score.

For that reason, our betting experts have gone with Full Time Draw + Both Teams To Score as our best value tip for this game.

Odds of 7/2 mean that a £10 bet has the potential to return up to £45 in this match.

(odds subject to change)

Final Prediction:

Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City