Turkish Super Lig


Over 2.5
Konyaspor 2 - 3 Samsunspor
Who will win?
1

Konyaspor
x
Draw
2

Samsunspor
Date: November 2, 2025
Kick-off (GMT): 11:30
Competition: Turkey Süper Lig
Venue: Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
Konyaspor welcome Samsunspor to the Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadium for a crucial Süper Lig clash that promises attacking football from both sides. According to Football Park’s data-driven algorithm, this fixture projects one of the weekend’s highest goal probabilities in the Turkish top flight. The model anticipates 3.10 total match goals with both teams expected to contribute, making Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.38 the standout value selection.
Samsunspor enter with a slight 41.7% win probability, but Konyaspor’s home advantage keeps them close at 36.7%, suggesting a finely balanced match. Backed by algorithmic analysis of over 200 data points — including tactical shape, recent form, and historical trends — Football Park’s predictive model points toward an open, high-intensity contest with multiple scoring opportunities.
Football Park’s model projects one of the most competitive matchups of the Süper Lig weekend. Samsunspor carry a marginal edge with a 41.7% win probability, but Konyaspor remain dangerous at home with 36.7%, reflecting a match that could swing either way. The probability of a draw sits at 21.7%, showing minimal separation between the sides.
Both teams boast offensive quality but remain defensively inconsistent, which significantly raises the model’s goal projections. The expected scoreline — Konyaspor 2-3 Samsunspor — highlights potential for a thrilling, end-to-end encounter.
Key Prediction Data
The Football Park algorithm suggests an explosive first half with 1.72 expected first-half goals and a 93% chance of at least one goal before halftime.
The Konyaspor vs Samsunspor timeline reveals an even recent rivalry punctuated by decisive home performances.
Previous Meetings:
Konyaspor have been consistent scorers in this fixture, averaging 2.25 goals per match across the last four meetings. However, Samsunspor’s away win earlier in 2025 broke a long drought, showing that they can now match Konyaspor tactically and physically.
Konyaspor Tactical Outlook
Konyaspor typically employ a possession-based system that thrives at home, with an emphasis on full-back overlaps and midfield rotations. Their 1.60 expected goals underline consistent attacking creation but also highlight defensive fragility that could be exploited. Football Park’s data shows that Konyaspor often start brightly, holding a 36.7% chance of leading at halftime, though their defensive lapses in the second half remain a concern.
Samsunspor Tactical Outlook
Samsunspor’s 41.7% win probability stems from their transitional efficiency. They excel in counter-attacking scenarios and tend to increase tempo in the second half — aligning with Football Park’s Draw/Away (Half-Time/Full-Time) model prediction. With 1.50 expected goals, they’re likely to challenge Konyaspor’s defensive line repeatedly, especially through quick combinations and wide service into the box.
While Football Park does not publish predicted lineups, the Konyaspor vs Samsunspor lineups are expected to reflect two attacking setups. Konyaspor should deploy their standard high-possession shape, while Samsunspor will prioritize pace on the counter. Both teams are likely to field their main offensive players given the predictive model’s high-scoring projection.
Our internal data suggests that each side’s key attackers have contributed to over 70% of their teams’ goals this season, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends.
Top Betting Tip 1: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.38
This market combines two of Football Park’s strongest projections: Over 2.5 Goals (73.8%) and BTTS (68.3%). With both sides regularly producing goal-heavy matches and showing defensive vulnerabilities, this selection offers a strong balance between statistical confidence and betting value.
The expected 3.10 match goals and predicted 2-3 scoreline make this combination particularly compelling for bettors seeking value in mid-range odds.
Top Betting Tip 2: Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.40
Our model projects a 93% probability of at least one goal before halftime, supported by both teams’ aggressive early patterns. This market fits bettors preferring a lower-risk, fast-paced start investment. Historically, four of the last five Konyaspor–Samsunspor fixtures have featured goals within the first 30 minutes.
Football Park Analyst Note: Combining these two selections — Over 0.5 First Half Goals + Over 2.5 & BTTS — forms a high-probability, complementary betting strategy aligned with Football Park’s confidence ratings for this fixture.
Venue: Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
Predicted Scoreline: 2-3 Samsunspor
Expected Match Goals: 3.10
Expected First Half Goals: 1.72
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 73.8%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 68.3%
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Away
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 93%
These metrics align closely with Football Park’s broader Süper Lig trend data, which shows this fixture type — mid-table teams with high xG differentials — averaging above 3.0 total goals per match.
Football Park’s predictive model anticipates one of the most entertaining fixtures of the Süper Lig weekend. Expect open play, transitional attacks, and multiple goal opportunities from both sides. Konyaspor’s home advantage should make it competitive, but Samsunspor’s efficiency on the break may tilt the balance late on.
Predicted Outcome: Konyaspor 2-3 Samsunspor
Top Bets:
Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.38
Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.40
Both bets are data-backed with high confidence, aligning with Football Park’s model forecasts and the match’s statistical profile.
Football Park promotes responsible betting. Always stake within your means and focus on long-term value rather than short-term results. For strategy insights, visit our Football Park Betting Guides and Value Betting Strategy Hub, where professional analysts explain how to interpret data confidence ratings effectively.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-driven models and expert insights cover hundreds of fixtures weekly, giving bettors reliable, data-backed perspectives.

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